FLY
MACRO
Scenario2022 Inflation Shock
QuarterQ 7 / 20
Economic StateOVERHEATING
Score742
◆ NEWS
◆ LIVE
Market Consensus
Live Odds · Kalshi ↗
Policy Divergence
↕ 23 pts
vs. market consensus
Crowd Sentiment
Cautiously Bullish
PolyMarket ↗
Historical Analogs
ALT: 35,000 ft · Q7/20 · OVERHEATING
Fed Funds Rate
4.25%
drag yoke ± 0.25%
MAX
OFF
QE
LEVER
$0B
↑ RAISE RATES
YOKE± 0.25%
↓ CUT RATES
—
ready
MAX
OFF
MKT
INVEST
$0B
COMMAND DECK
PRESIDENT
President
"Welcome to Washington. Try not to crash the economy."
CHIEF ADVISOR
Econ Advisor
"Welcome aboard. The economy awaits your guidance."
🐦 SOCIAL
👤 IMPACT
Ask Advisors
Political Pressure
High · 5 leaders pushing
Dual Mandate
Inflation target✗ 3.1%
Employment✓ 4.2%
President
The President
"Welcome to Washington. Try not to crash the economy."
The President
Commander in Chief
🏛️
The President
Executive Branch
"Welcome to Washington."
LIVE
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